By Dr. Mark Guishard Director, Bermuda Weather Service
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Additional resources for 5 Things You Never Knew About Hurricanes
Any Questions? Dr.
Unreliable database before: –Satellites and Radar –Aircraft reconnaissance –Weather Balloons Water is the biggest cause of fatalities in hurricanes, not direct wind strength. Hurricane force winds don't always come from what we classically think of as hurricanes. Any Questions? Dr.
4 Waves - Island effects Bermuda Direction of wave movement Sea Floor On a small, isolated island such as Bermuda, this effect is small; Large waves are deflected around the sea mount, in the surrounding deep water. Amplitudes and wavelengths stay fairly constant. However, sea states can still be quite significant in tropical systems... 4 Before and After the Hurricane Richelieu Apartments Pass Christian, MS Hurricane Camille 17 Aug 1969 Source: NOAA 4 4 Katrina Storm Surge Model Source: LSU 4 Katrina Storm Surge Map Source: FEMA 5 5) A Hurricane is not always a Hurricane… Subtropical storms – about half of the storms we get in hurricane season are not even named by NHC Source: Guishard, 2007 5 Source: UW-CIMSS October 2001: Subtropical Storm ⇒ Hurricane Karen 989 mb Source: BWS 5 Winter Winter Winter Winter 40 Fabian Bermuda daily average over 5 years 50 In Bermuda, more gales come from marine winter winds storms than from hurricanes 60 Florence 30 20 10 Source: BWS 0 1/1/2007 12/1/2006 11/1/2006 10/1/2006 9/1/2006 8/1/2006 7/1/2006 6/1/2006 5/1/2006 4/1/2006 3/1/2006 2/1/2006 1/1/2006 12/1/2005 11/1/2005 10/1/2005 9/1/2005 8/1/2005 7/1/2005 6/1/2005 5/1/2005 4/1/2005 3/1/2005 2/1/2005 1/1/2005 12/1/2004 11/1/2004 10/1/2004 9/1/2004 8/1/2004 7/1/2004 6/1/2004 5/1/2004 4/1/2004 3/1/2004 2/1/2004 1/1/2004 12/1/2003 11/1/2003 10/1/2003 9/1/2003 8/1/2003 7/1/2003 6/1/2003 5/1/2003 4/1/2003 3/1/2003 2/1/2003 1/1/2003 12/1/2002 11/1/2002 10/1/2002 9/1/2002 8/1/2002 7/1/2002 6/1/2002 5/1/2002 4/1/2002 3/1/2002 2/1/2002 1/1/2002 Recap El Niño – Natural climate pattern – Reduces hurricane formation in the Atlantic… – …by changing the shear pattern in the main development region.